Iran
I have a really bad feeling about Iran. Everything I look at just makes it appear that we're going to be dealing with a nuclear Iran - and at that point they will be able to operate without regard for world opinion.
It is clear the best option in Iran is an internal uprising to overthrough the Mullahs. However, this requires the luxury of time, which we don't have.
The E3 has taken forever to come around and now we're asking the IAEA, which Syria or all people sits on to recommend Iran to the security council. China, and to a lesser extent Russia, haven't appeared to be committed to any action, and we don't have that long.
It seems like the options are
1) Hope Israel does it for us and then protect Israel. With Sharon's stroke, this doesn't seem like a smart bet.
2) Surgical strikes in hopes of delay. Unless the intelligence is very good, this poses multiple risks.
3) Invade Iran
4) Do nothing and hope that Iran behaves. This is a really bad idea. Iran wants Israel gone, and to a lesser extent the US. Also, a nuclear Iran can sponsor terrorists with no fear.
posted by Burl @ 6:04 PM
2 comments
2 Comments:
Or...
5) The UN grows a pair and does something more than drafting resolutions to alleviate the threat.
or, more likely than that...
6) Aliens land in Iran and destroy it.
Unfortunately, I think option 3 is the best option. It does not involve merely hoping the situation is somehow resolved, but actively taking measures to ensure it is resolved. I say unfortunately, because I'm afraid the public support for another military operation on that scale just isn't there. Number 2 may be good, but as you pointed out, it depends very much on good intel.
There's an extremely detailed discussion of Iran over at Winds of Change.
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